Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 64.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.25%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.