League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
May 15, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Jordan McEneff 19' goal
  • Brandon Kavanagh 60' goal
  • Michael Duffy 83' goal

Derry City vs Dundalk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
Bohemians 0 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jordan McEneff

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
Dundalk 2 - 1 Cork City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Patrick Hoban

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result

Derry City 51.55% (-0.01)
Draw 26.46% (+0.01)
Dundalk 22%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.54% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.35% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 58.65% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 20.81% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 79.2% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 8.8% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.2% (+0.01)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 77.11% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.89% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.36% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.65% (+0.01)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 57.76% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 42.24% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.36% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.64% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Derry City 51.53%
Draw 26.45%
Dundalk 22%
Derry City
1-0 @ 14.25%
2-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 51.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.45%
Dundalk
0-1 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.3%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 22%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Robbie Benson 71' goal
  • Johannes Yli-Kokko 72' goal
  • goal Ben Doherty 44'
  • goal Cian Kavanagh 79'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 36
Nov 6, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Keith Ward 9'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gregory Sloggett 78' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Declan Glass 8'
  • goal James Akintunde 12'
  • yellowcard Shane McEleney 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Brian Maher 65'
  • yellowcard Cameron Dummigan 68'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matthew Smith 27' yellowcard
  • James Akintunde 75' goal
  • goal Robbie Benson 10'
  • yellowcard 45'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shepperd 67'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 74'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 77'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 81'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 18, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mark Connolly 24' yellowcard
  • Steven Bradley 24' yellowcard
  • Steven Bradley 31' goal
  • Mark Connolly 72' goal
  • Sam Bone 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Thomson 24'
  • goal Joseph Thomson 40'
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 80'