Derry City vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.