Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.