League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4

Mar 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Showgrounds

Sligo
2 - 1
St Patrick's

Hutchinson (32'), Hartmann (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Forrester (62')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Sligo Rovers and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sligo Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Drogheda 1-0 Sligo
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Dundalk 5-0 St Patrick's
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.

Result
Sligo Rovers	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
37.36% ( -3.54)	27.6% ( 0.2)	35.03% ( 3.33)

Both teams to score 48.97% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.22% (

-0.23)

56.78% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.28% (

-0.18)

77.72% (

0.18)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7% (

-2.13)

29.3% (

2.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

-2.7)

65.26% (

2.69)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

2.13)

30.74% (

-2.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99% (

2.43)

67% (

-2.44)

Score Analysis

Sligo Rovers 37.36%

St Patrick's Athletic 35.03%

Draw 27.6%

Sligo Rovers	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.8) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.52) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.36%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.68) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.74) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.35) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.41) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.03%