Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.