Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 32
Oct 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
St Patrick's Athletic

Dundalk
1 - 2
St Patrick's

O'Kane (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Forrester (20'), O'Reilly (90+3')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Dundalk 2-0 Drogheda
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Shelbourne 4-4 St Patrick's
Monday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
58.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.06% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 46.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)75.12% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)18.25% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)49.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)43.67% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.15% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)79.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 58.1%
    St Patrick's Athletic 18.06%
    Draw 23.83%
DundalkDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 13.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 18.06%

How you voted: Dundalk vs St Patrick's

Dundalk
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
St Patrick's Athletic
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Jul 15, 2022 7.45pm
St Patrick's
1-1
Dundalk
Doyle (15')
O'Reilly (51'), Atakayi (66'), Forrester (79')
Kelly (77')
Hoban (57'), Sloggett (77'), O'Donnell (80'), O'Donnell (90')
May 27, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
1-0
St Patrick's
Kelly (24')

(86')
Apr 8, 2022 7.45pm
St Patrick's
0-0
Dundalk

Grivosti (75'), (83'), (90+4')

Sloggett (28'), Kelly (60'), Benson (82'), (90+3'), (90+4')
Oct 25, 2021 7.45pm
St Patrick's
1-0
Dundalk
King (26')
Lewis (54'), Jaros (74')

Patching (62'), Dummigan (89')
Aug 8, 2021 3pm
Dundalk
1-4
St Patrick's
Hoban (25')
Perth (28'), McMillan (73')
Melvin-Lambert (11'), Smith (41', 79'), Forrester (71' pen.)
Desmond (29'), Smith (57'), Bermingham (66'), McCormack (70')