Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.