Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.