Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.