League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 35

Oct 30, 2022 at 7pm UK

Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Shamrock
1 - 0
Derry

Gaffney (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions

League of Ireland Premier

Last Game: Shamrock 1-1 Gent
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derry City

All competitions

Last Game: Sligo 0-0 Derry
Monday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.

Result
Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Derry City
44.39% ( 0.09)	25.79% ( -0.04)	29.83% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.02% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.12% (

0.15)

50.88% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.24% (

0.13)

72.76% (

-0.13)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

0.11)

22.85% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

0.16)

56.58% (

-0.16)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72% (

0.04)

31.28% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

0.05)

67.63% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Shamrock Rovers 44.39%

Derry City 29.83%

Draw 25.79%

Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.39%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.83%