Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derry City in this match.