Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.