Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.