Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cork City win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 15.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cork City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.