Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.