Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.