Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 80.99%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 6.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.51%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.