Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.