Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.