Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.