Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.