Sligo Rovers
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17
May 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds
Derry City

Sligo
1 - 0
Derry

Fitzgerald (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Sligo Rovers and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Cork City 1-0 Sligo
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 4-1 UCD
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Sligo RoversDrawDerry City
27.79% (0.41 0.41)27.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.88% (-0.387 -0.39)
Both teams to score 47.24% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.23% (0.28299999999999 0.28)57.77% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.5% (0.223 0.22)78.51% (-0.221 -0.22)
Sligo Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53% (0.488 0.49)36.47% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74% (0.491 0.49)73.26% (-0.489 -0.49)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)25.64% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)60.54% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Sligo Rovers 27.79%
    Derry City 44.87%
    Draw 27.32%
Sligo RoversDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.47% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 27.79%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 12.72% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.66% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44.87%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Derry
1-1
Sligo
Coll (81')
Doherty (64')
Mata (25')
Mahon (11'), Browning (62')
Oct 24, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 33
Sligo
0-0
Derry

Barlow (30')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 25
Derry
1-0
Sligo
Patching (15')

Burton (42')
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Sligo
2-1
Derry
Buckley (20'), Keogh (90+4')
(79'), (87')
McGonigle (44')
(74')
Feb 28, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Derry
0-0
Sligo

Akintunde (82')

Bolger (67'), McDonnell (84'), Fitzgerald (89')