Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.