League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Jordan McEneff 13' goal
  • Michael Duffy 50' goal
  • Michael Duffy 64' goal
  • Matt Ward 84' goal
  • goal Adam Wells 75'

Derry City vs University College Dublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 15, 2023 7.45pm
Derry 3 - 0 Dundalk
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jordan McEneff

University College Dublin

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
UCD 0 - 3 Shamrock
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Danu Kinsella-Bishop

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 83.18%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 4.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.59%) and 1-0 (11.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result

Derry City 83.18% (+0.74)
Draw 12.16% (-0.32)
University College Dublin 4.65% (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.96% (-1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.75% (-0.66)
Under 2.5 40.25% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 37.38% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 62.62% (+0.68)
Over 4.5 20.07% (-0.53)
Under 4.5 79.92% (+0.53)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 92.72% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 7.27% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 73.65% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 26.34% (-0.06)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5 37.71% (-2.04)
Under 0.5 62.29% (+2.04)
Over 1.5 8.22% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 91.77% (+1.00)

Score analysis

Derry City 83.17%
Draw 12.16%
University College Dublin 4.66%
Derry City
2-0 @ 15.56% (+0.50)
3-0 @ 13.59% (+0.45)
1-0 @ 11.87% (+0.36)
4-0 @ 8.91% (+0.31)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.23)
5-0 @ 4.67% (+0.17)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.15)
5-1 @ 2.21% (-0.08)
6-0 @ 2.04% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.17)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 83.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.62% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 4.53% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 1.74% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 12.16%
University College Dublin
0-1 @ 2.15% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 1.33% (-0.15)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 4.66%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Mar 6, 2023 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT UCD Bowl
  • goal Jordan McEneff 15'
  • goal Jordan McEneff 41'
  • goal Oliver O'Neill 65'
  • goal Evan Osam 75' (OG)
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 29
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryan Graydon 5' goal
  • Sadou Diallo 71' goal
  • Michael Duffy 86' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Gallagher 62'
  • yellowcard Sean Brennan 75'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 24, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Evan Caffrey 20' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie McGonigle 41'
  • goal William Patching 53'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
7
1
HT : 5 0
FT
  • William Patching 13' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 21' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 23' goal
  • 29' yellowcard
  • Cameron McJannett 34' goal
  • Cameron Dummigan 45' goal
  • Ronan Boyce 55' goal
  • Jamie McGonigle 60' goal
  • yellowcard Donal Higgins 31'
  • yellowcard 41'
  • goal Alex Nolan 63'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • 44' yellowcard
  • Donal Higgins 88' yellowcard
  • goal William Patching 66'
  • goal Ronan Boyce 78'