St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19
Jun 5, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Richmond Park
Derry City

St Patrick's
4 - 1
Derry

McGrath (36'), Doyle (62'), Forrester (67'), Doyle (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kavanagh (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: UCD 1-3 St Patrick's
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDerry City
31.13% (0.098000000000003 0.1)28.31% (0.371 0.37)40.56% (-0.471 -0.47)
Both teams to score 46.1% (-1.008 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.02% (-1.278 -1.28)59.97% (1.274 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.78% (-0.985 -0.99)80.22% (0.982 0.98)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.92% (-0.608 -0.61)35.07% (0.60299999999999 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18% (-0.641 -0.64)71.82% (0.637 0.64)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.88199999999999 -0.88)28.99% (0.878 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (-1.101 -1.1)64.88% (1.098 1.1)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 31.13%
    Derry City 40.55%
    Draw 28.3%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 31.13%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 10.16% (0.471 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.3%
0-1 @ 12.58% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 40.55%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Derry

St Patrick's Athletic
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Derry City
44.4%
27
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Derry
2-0
St Patrick's
Doherty (71' pen.), Whelan (79')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 1
St Patrick's
1-1
Derry
Redmond (89')
McEneff (32')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 31
St Patrick's
0-1
Derry
Kavanagh (70')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
Derry
0-0
St Patrick's
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 13
St Patrick's
0-4
Derry

(32'), Coughlin (69')
Smith (5'), McGonigle (30', 42'), Dummigan (60')