League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
St Patrick's
Jun 5, 2023 6.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
Derry
  • Jay McGrath 36' goal
  • Eoin Doyle 62' goal
  • Chris Forrester 67' goal
  • Mark Doyle 79' goal
  • goal Cian Kavanagh 65'

St Patrick's Athletic vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
UCD 1 - 3 St Patrick's
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Chris Forrester

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Derry 0 - 0 Shelbourne
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jordan McEneff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 31.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 28.31% ▲ (+0.38)
Derry City 40.56% ▼ (-0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.1% ▼ (-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.02% ▼ (-1.28)
Under 2.5 59.97% ▲ (+1.28)
Over 3.5 19.78% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 3.5 80.22% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 4.5 8.21% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 4.5 91.79% ▲ (+0.57)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 64.92% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 0.5 35.07% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 1.5 28.18% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 1.5 71.82% ▲ (+0.64)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 71.01% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 0.5 28.99% ▲ (+0.88)
Over 1.5 35.11% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 1.5 64.88% ▲ (+1.10)

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 31.13%
Draw 28.3%
Derry City 40.55%
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.34)
2-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 31.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.19% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.48)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.3%
Derry City
0-1 @ 12.58% ▲ (+0.30)
1-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.55%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Derry
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
St Patrick's
  • Ben Doherty 71' goal
  • Colm Whelan 79' goal
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
St Patrick's
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
Derry
  • Joe Redmond 89' goal
  • goal Jordan McEneff 32'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 31
St Patrick's
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Derry
  • goal Cian Kavanagh 70'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Derry
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
St Patrick's
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
St Patrick's
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Derry
  • 32' yellowcard
  • Ronan Coughlin 69' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Smith 5'
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 30'
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 42'
  • goal Cameron Dummigan 60'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Derry
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
St Patrick's
  • William Patching 4' goal
  • Shane McEleney 20' yellowcard
  • Joseph Thomson 46' yellowcard
  • William Patching 90'+3' goal
  • goal Tom Grivosti 47'

Form Data

UCD 1 - 3 St Patrick's
St Patrick's 2 - 1 Dundalk
Shelbourne 0 - 1 St Patrick's
Shamrock 3 - 2 St Patrick's
St Patrick's 3 - 0 Drogheda
Cork City 2 - 3 St Patrick's
Derry 0 - 0 Shelbourne
Sligo 1 - 0 Derry
Derry 4 - 1 UCD
Derry 3 - 0 Dundalk
Bohemians 0 - 1 Derry
Drogheda 0 - 1 Derry