Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.