League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 26, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Mark Doyle 30' goal
  • Conor Carty 79' goal
  • goal Rayhaan Tulloch 48'

St Patrick's Athletic vs Dundalk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
Shelbourne 0 - 1 St Patrick's
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Chris Forrester

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
Dundalk 2 - 2 Bohemians
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Patrick Hoban

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 51.44% (-0.17)
Draw 25.3% (+0.08)
Dundalk 23.26% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.14% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.65% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 53.35% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 25.11% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 74.89% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 11.43% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 88.57% (+0.11)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 79.25% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 20.75% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 46.62% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 53.38% (+0.24)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 62% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.99% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 25.23% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 74.76% (+0.03)

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 51.44%
Draw 25.29%
Dundalk 23.26%
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 12.39% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 51.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.88% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.29%
Dundalk
0-1 @ 7.63% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.81% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.69% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.26%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Patrick Hoban 5' goal
  • Louie Annesley 15' goal
  • Rayhaan Tulloch 51' goal
  • Daniel Kelly 53' goal
  • Connor Malley 84' goal
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 32
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ryan O'Kane 45'+1' goal
  • goal Chris Forrester 20'
  • goal Adam O'Reilly 90'+3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Jul 15, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Eoin Doyle 15' goal
  • Adam O'Reilly 51' yellowcard
  • Serge Atakayi 66' yellowcard
  • Chris Forrester 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 57'
  • goal Daniel Kelly 77'
  • yellowcard Gregory Sloggett 77'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 80'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 18
May 27, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Kelly 24' goal
  • yellowcard 86'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 8, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Grivosti 75' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregory Sloggett 28'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 60'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 82'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 32
Oct 25, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Billy King 26' goal
  • Alfie Lewis 54' yellowcard
  • Vitezslav Jaros 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard William Patching 62'
  • yellowcard Cameron Dummigan 89'