St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17
May 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
Dundalk

St Patrick's
2 - 1
Dundalk

Doyle (30'), Carty (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tulloch (48')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-1 St Patrick's
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Dundalk 2-2 Bohemians
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDundalk
51.44% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)25.3% (0.073 0.07)23.26% (0.098000000000003 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.14% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (-0.196 -0.2)53.35% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (-0.167 -0.17)74.89% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)20.75% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (-0.236 -0.24)53.38% (0.236 0.24)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)37.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)74.76% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 51.44%
    Dundalk 23.26%
    Draw 25.29%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.26%

Head to Head
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Dundalk
5-0
St Patrick's
Hoban (5'), Annesley (15'), Tulloch (51'), Kelly (53'), Malley (84')
Tulloch (44'), Kelly (54')

Curtis (44'), Kreida (55'), Doyle (56'), Forrester (90+1')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 32
Dundalk
1-2
St Patrick's
O'Kane (45+1')
Forrester (20'), O'Reilly (90+3')
Grivosti (7')
Jul 15, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
St Patrick's
1-1
Dundalk
Doyle (15')
O'Reilly (51'), Atakayi (66'), Forrester (79')
Kelly (77')
Hoban (57'), Sloggett (77'), O'Donnell (80'), O'Donnell (90')
May 27, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 18
Dundalk
1-0
St Patrick's
Kelly (24')

(86')
Apr 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 9
St Patrick's
0-0
Dundalk

Grivosti (75'), (83'), (90+4')

Sloggett (28'), Kelly (60'), Benson (82'), (90+3'), (90+4')