Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.