Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.