League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Jul 7, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Jamie McGonigle 30' goal
  • William Patching 90'+5' goal
  • goal Danny Lafferty 41'

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 30, 2023 7.45pm
Shelbourne 1 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jordan McEneff

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 30, 2023 7.45pm
Sligo 3 - 1 Bohemians
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Max Mata

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 57.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result

Derry City 57.65% (-0.02)
Draw 24.96% (+0.01)
Sligo Rovers 17.39% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.97% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.54% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 58.46% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 20.95% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 79.05% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 8.89% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.11% (+0.01)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 79.73% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.27% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.38% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.63% (+0.02)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 52.64% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 47.36% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 17.24% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 82.76%

Score analysis

Derry City 57.64%
Draw 24.96%
Sligo Rovers 17.39%
Derry City
1-0 @ 15.32%
2-0 @ 12.22%
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 57.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.96%
Sligo Rovers
0-1 @ 7.18% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.28% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.68% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 17.39%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 27, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • William Fitzgerald 4' goal
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Ciaran Coll 81' goal
  • goal Max Mata 25'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 33
Oct 24, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • William Patching 15' goal
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Garry Buckley 20' goal
  • 79' yellowcard
  • 87' yellowcard
  • Seamus Keogh 90'+4' goal
  • goal Jamie McGonigle 44'
  • yellowcard 74'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Feb 28, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Akintunde 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Greg Bolger 67'
  • yellowcard Adam McDonnell 84'
  • yellowcard William Fitzgerald 89'