Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 57.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.