Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.