Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.05%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.