/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F37%2Fwelcome-to-sports-mole-transparent-click-area.png "Welcome to Sports Mole")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F31%2Fsports-mole-favicon-32x32.png "Sports Mole FAVICON"){kind=small}
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F26%2Fdunlog.png "Dundalk")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F26%2Fucdlog.png "University College Dublin")
Dundalk4 - 1UCD
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 9.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | University College Dublin |
74.47% ( 0.88) | 16.22% ( -0.34) | 9.31% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 46.07% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.51% ( -0.12) | 40.49% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.13% ( -0.12) | 62.87% ( 0.13) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.68% ( 0.18) | 9.32% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.57% ( 0.42) | 31.43% ( -0.42) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.8% ( -1.19) | 49.2% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.91% ( -0.86) | 84.1% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.56% Total : 74.45% | 1-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.68% Total : 16.22% | 0-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.17% Total : 9.31% |
How you voted: Dundalk vs UCD
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F23%2Fgambling-online.png "Footer logo for GAMSTOP"){kind=small}
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2FGambleAware%20Secondary%20Main%20Grey.png "on February 3, 2024"){kind=small}