League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Jun 5, 2023 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Patrick Hoban 23' goal
  • Daniel Kelly 41' goal
  • Patrick Hoban 53' goal
  • Patrick Hoban 69' goal
  • goal Jake Doyle 7'

Dundalk vs University College Dublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Shamrock 2 - 0 Dundalk
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Patrick Hoban

University College Dublin

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
UCD 1 - 3 St Patrick's
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Danu Kinsella-Bishop

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 9.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result

Dundalk 74.47% (+0.88)
Draw 16.22% (-0.34)
University College Dublin 9.31% (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.07% (-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.51% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 40.49% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 37.13% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 62.87% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 19.88% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 80.12% (+0.10)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 90.68% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 9.32% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 68.57% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 31.43% (-0.42)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5 50.8% (-1.19)
Under 0.5 49.2% (+1.19)
Over 1.5 15.91% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 84.1% (+0.86)

Score analysis

Dundalk 74.45%
Draw 16.22%
University College Dublin 9.31%
Dundalk
2-0 @ 12.9% (+0.27)
1-0 @ 10.87% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 10.21% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 7.25% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 6.06% (+0.23)
4-1 @ 4.3% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.88% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.11)
5-1 @ 2.04% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.05)
6-0 @ 1.14% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 74.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 4.58% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 16.22%
University College Dublin
0-1 @ 3.25% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 2.74% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.15% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 9.31%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
May 1, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT UCD Bowl
  • goal John Martin 35'
  • goal Ryan O'Kane 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Oriel Park
  • John Martin 34' goal
  • goal Ciaran Behan 78'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Sep 9, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tom Lonergan 51' goal
  • Dylan Duffy 79' goal
  • Tom Lonergan 87' goal
  • goal Keith Ward 39'
  • goal Steven Bradley 57'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David McMillan 51' goal
  • Joe Adams 57' goal
  • Keith Ward 90'+3' goal
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 6, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dara Keane 23' yellowcard
  • Colm Whelan 60' goal
  • 69' yellowcard
  • Colm Whelan 75' goal
  • Colm Whelan 88' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Doyle 18'
  • yellowcard 41'
  • redcard Darragh Leahy 45'+1'
  • redcard Andy Boyle 45'+1'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 54'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 74'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Kelly 16' goal
  • Patrick Hoban 48' goal
  • yellowcard 76'