League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 26, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Hunky Dorys Park
  • Freddie Draper 42' goal
  • Freddie Draper 45' goal
  • Dylan Grimes 67' goal
  • goal Adam Wells 19'

Drogheda United vs University College Dublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Drogheda United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 19, 2023 8.00pm
Shamrock 1 - 2 Drogheda
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Freddie Draper

University College Dublin

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
Derry 4 - 1 UCD
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Danu Kinsella-Bishop

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.

Result

Drogheda United 59.14% (-0.01)
Draw 23.13% (+0.01)
University College Dublin 17.74% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.5% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.63% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 51.38% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 26.81% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.19% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 12.52% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.48% (+0.02)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5 82.95% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.06% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.78% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 47.23% (+0.03)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5 57.26% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 42.74% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 20.93% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 79.07% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Drogheda United 59.14%
Draw 23.13%
University College Dublin 17.74%
Drogheda United
1-0 @ 12.89% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 59.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.29% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.13%
University College Dublin
0-1 @ 6.2% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.74%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT UCD Bowl
  • goal Emmanuel Adegboyega 73'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 34
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Keaney 39' goal
  • Dara Keane 67' goal
  • goal Darragh Nugent 3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Aug 1, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Adam Foley 3' goal
  • Adam Foley 22' yellowcard
  • Andrew Quinn 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Dunne 45'
  • goal Tom Lonergan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Sam Todd 53'
  • yellowcard Dylan Duffy 73'
  • yellowcard Tom Lonergan 86'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 15, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Dayle Rooney 54'
  • goal Chris Lyons 61'
  • yellowcard Darragh Nugent 84'
  • goal Evan Weir 89'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Gary Deegan 20' goal
  • Chris Lyons 24' goal
  • 40' yellowcard
  • Chris Lyons 43' goal
  • Dean Williams 64' goal
  • Gary Deegan 81' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Todd 54'
  • goal Liam Kerrigan 82'