Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.