Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jun 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
Derry City

Shelbourne
1 - 1
Derry

Boyd (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doherty (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Derry
Monday, June 26 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
ShelbourneDrawDerry City
30.52% (0.02 0.02)28.21% (0.004999999999999 0)41.27% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.2% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)59.8% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)80.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)72.2% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)28.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)64.28% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 30.52%
    Derry City 41.26%
    Draw 28.21%
ShelbourneDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 6.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 30.52%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 12.67%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 41.26%

How you voted: Shelbourne vs Derry

Shelbourne
63.3%
Draw
20.0%
Derry City
16.7%
30
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Derry
0-0
Shelbourne
> Preview
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Shelbourne
0-1
Derry
Graydon (11')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Derry
1-1
Shelbourne
Thomson (83')
Moylan (69')
Aug 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Shelbourne
0-1
Derry

McManus (52'), Boyd (90+4'), Kane (90+5')
Boyd (90+6')
Graydon (90+1')
Diallo (35'), Dummigan (53')
Apr 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Derry
1-2
Shelbourne
Akintunde (30')
Dummigan (47')
Farrell (68'), McManus (75')
Thomas (16'), O'Driscoll (21'), Byrne (40'), Carr (76'), Dervin (78'), Boyd (90+2')
Dervin (90+1')