Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.