Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Honka in this match.