Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Oulu win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.