Conference League
Oct 26, 2023 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Bojan Miovski 50' goal
  • Dante Polvara 58' goal
  • Slobodan Rubezic 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 37'
  • goal Kiril Despodov 73'
  • goal Vieirinha 84'
  • yellowcard Razvan Lucescu 90'
  • yellowcard William Troost-Ekong 90'+1'
  • goal Stefan Schwab 90'+6'

Aberdeen vs PAOK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 8.00pm
Aberdeen 1 - 1 HJK Helsinki

PAOK

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 8.00pm
PAOK 2 - 1 Frankfurt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result

Aberdeen 32.17% (+0.02)
Draw 26.28% (-0.01)
PAOK 41.54% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.48% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.94% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.06% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.21% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.78% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 12.13% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.86% (-0.01)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 69.75% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.25% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.58% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.42% (-0.02)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5 75.23% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.76% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.67% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.33% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 32.17%
Draw 26.28%
PAOK 41.54%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 8.96% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.47% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.36% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 26.28%
PAOK
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 41.54%