Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.