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Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
PAOK

Aberdeen
2 - 3
PAOK

Miovski (50'), Polvara (58')
Rubezic (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Despodov (73'), Vieirinha (84'), Schwab (90+6' pen.)
Schwab (37'), Lucescu (90'), Troost-Ekong (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aberdeen and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

PAOK

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Atromitos
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawPAOK
32.17% (0.014000000000003 0.01)26.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.54% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.48% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)52.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (0.013000000000005 0.01)30.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.42% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.76% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 32.17%
    PAOK 41.54%
    Draw 26.28%
AberdeenDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 7.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.17%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 41.54%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs PAOK

Aberdeen
24.0%
Draw
18.0%
PAOK
58.0%
50