Conference League
Oct 5, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Bojan Miovski 79' goal
  • goal Bojan Radulovic 59'
  • yellowcard Toni Korkeakunnas 81'
  • yellowcard Lucas Lingman 90'

Aberdeen vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Frankfurt 2 - 1 Aberdeen

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
HJK Helsinki 2 - 3 PAOK

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Aberdeen 38.94% (-0.37)
Draw 25.51% (+0.03)
HJK Helsinki 35.55% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.83% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.9% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 48.09% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.74% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 70.26% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 14.49% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 85.5% (+0.05)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 75.66% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 24.34% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 41.27% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 58.73% (+0.32)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 73.79% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 26.21% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 38.69% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 61.31% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 38.94%
Draw 25.51%
HJK Helsinki 35.55%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 38.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.38% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.51%
HJK Helsinki
0-1 @ 8.54% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.08% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.72% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.61% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.55% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.55% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.55%