Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.