Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Honka had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.