Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.