Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves
0 - 2
VPS


N'Diaye (45'), Parfitt-Williams (61'), Aspegren (90'), Ala-Myllymaki (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Maenpaa (11' og.), Bashkirov (15')
Pitkanen (10'), Pikkarainen (61')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and Vaasan Palloseura.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Ilves
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Last Game: VPS 4-1 Haka
Sunday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
IlvesDrawVaasan Palloseura
44.57% (0.021999999999998 0.02)26.61% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)28.81% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (0.017999999999994 0.02)54.64% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)75.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (0.015999999999991 0.02)24.4% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (0.025999999999996 0.03)58.81% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)33.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.67% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 44.57%
    Vaasan Palloseura 28.81%
    Draw 26.61%
IlvesDrawVaasan Palloseura
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 44.57%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.81%

How you voted: Ilves vs VPS

Ilves
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Vaasan Palloseura
60.0%
5
Head to Head
May 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
VPS
0-2
Ilves
Haarala (75'), Jukkola (88')
N'Diaye (77')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Ilves
2-3
VPS
Oteng (47'), Meriluoto (90+1')
Multanen (56', 58'), Vahtera (69')
Aug 6, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 17
VPS
3-0
Ilves
Multanen (19' pen.), Pikkarainen (27'), Pahkasalo (37')
Reid (83')

Manga (48'), Ngueukam (61')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Ilves
3-2
VPS
Meriluoto (7'), Almen (45'), Pennanen (49')
Siira (41')
Pitkanen (9', 88')
Vahtera (53'), Backaliden (83')