Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.