Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.