Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.