Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 17
Jul 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Lahden Stadion

Lahti
0 - 2
Mariehamn


Djalo (21'), Penninkangas (68'), Kuningas (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ngamba (32'), Simunovic (90' og.)
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Lahti and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lahti

All competitions
Last Game: Lahti 1-1 SJK
Sunday, July 16 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: Ilves 0-0 Mariehamn
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.

Result
LahtiDrawIFK Mariehamn
34.24% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)25.93% (-0.139 -0.14)39.84% (0.185 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.21% (0.451 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92% (0.586 0.59)50.09% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.94% (0.519 0.52)72.06% (-0.517 -0.52)
Lahti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (0.25700000000001 0.26)27.95% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (0.32700000000001 0.33)63.58% (-0.325 -0.33)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (0.36200000000001 0.36)24.76% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (0.502 0.5)59.33% (-0.5 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Lahti 34.24%
    IFK Mariehamn 39.84%
    Draw 25.92%
LahtiDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 34.24%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.92% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 9.66% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.84%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Mariehamn
2-3
Lahti
Lahti (19'), Anini Jr (55')
Jantti (50'), Zeqiri (77'), Pirttijoki (81')
Sep 18, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mariehamn
6-0
Lahti
Cledson (39', 49'), Tiainen (59' og.), Abubakari (68'), Hopcutt (70'), Owoeri (85' pen.)
Aug 26, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 20
Lahti
0-2
Mariehamn

Emsis (32'), Kabashi (60')
Granlund (57'), Tehe Olawale (90+4')
Baliso (3'), Owoeri (14'), Lahti (88')
Apr 2, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mariehamn
0-0
Lahti
Tamminen (22'), Sumusalo (38'), Cledson (80')
Tamminen (75')
Pirttijoki (25'), Virta (36'), Chinedu (45+1'), Ademi (61')
Oct 27, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mariehamn
0-3
Lahti

Henrique (58'), Tehe Olawale (81'), Almstrom-Tahti (90'), Okoye (90')
Hertsi (38'), Chinedu (59' pen.), Zeqiri (90' pen.)
El Alami (39'), Penninkangas (68')