Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for KTP had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vaasan Palloseura in this match.