Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Haka had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.